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Goat Funded Trader Pass Rate Calculator with 95% confidence intervals

Upload your EA backtests. Pass Lab simulates against Goat's Standard 2-step Phase 1 rules using walk-forward Monte Carlo and bootstrap CIs. Audit-grade [low, high] range.

Open Pass Lab → How it works
Trade data never leaves your device 2026 rules verified Open methodology
Estimate your pass probability

Lower bound, not best case.

95% CI from 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations on the inputs below. Upload your real backtests for audit-grade precision →

Primary match · 95% CI lower bound
Best case · 95% CI upper bound
Lite estimate. Upload your MT4/MT5 backtest for audit-grade precision (walk-forward × Monte Carlo × bootstrap on real trade data).
Goat Standard 2-Step Phase 1 rules baked in: Target +10% Max DD 10% Daily DD 5% 3+ days · unlimited time

Lite estimate based on simplified inputs. Real-world pass rates depend on your actual trade distribution, news-trading rules, weekend holding, and per-firm consistency rules — all of which our audit-grade Pass Lab tool accounts for via real backtest data. CFTC Rule 4.41 hypothetical performance disclaimer applies.

Goat Funded Trader Standard 2-Step Phase 1 rules (verified May 2026)

RuleStandard 2-step Phase 1 ($100k)
Profit Target10% of starting balance
Max Daily Loss5% of starting balance (calculated EoD at 5pm EST off higher of balance/equity)
Max Total Loss10% static (90% floor of starting capital)
Min Trading Days3 days (was 5 in pre-2026 catalog)
Time LimitUnlimited
Weekend HoldingAllowed
Forex Leverage1:100
Metals Leverage1:20 (tightened from 1:50 in 2026)
Indices Leverage1:20

Source: help.goatfundedtrader.com (verified 2026-05-01).

When does Goat Funded Trader win?

Default-safe portfolios that don't need exotic leverage — Goat is the no-frills propfirm: standard 5% daily / 10% static rules, unlimited time, no consistency rule, weekend holding allowed. If your portfolio "should" pass a vanilla 2-step but you're not specifically benefiting from FundingPips' lower min-days or TFT's 1:200 leverage, Goat is a clean choice.

Gold-trading portfolios after the 2026 metals cut — Goat's 1:20 metals leverage is the lowest in the catalog (alongside FXIFY's base tier). For XAUUSD-heavy strategies, Goat will rank below FundingPips (1:30) and FTMO (1:30) — Pass Lab will surface those over Goat for gold-heavy portfolios. For non-gold portfolios, Goat is competitive with FundingPips.

Frequently asked questions

What's my actual pass probability for Goat Funded Trader Standard?

Pass Lab gives a 95% confidence interval. Upload your MT4/MT5 backtests and get [low, high]. The primary match is selected on the lower bound.

What are Goat's 2026 rules?

10% target, 5% daily DD, 10% static total DD, 3 min trading days, unlimited time, weekend holding allowed. Metals leverage tightened to 1:20.

How does Goat compare to The Funded Trader?

Nearly identical 2026 rule set: same target, daily DD, total DD, min days. TFT has higher forex leverage (1:200 vs 1:100), TFT has 1:50 metals vs Goat's 1:20. Goat doesn't have TFT's payout-reliability concerns.

Is Goat Funded Trader reliable?

Operational as of 2026 with standard help-center docs and payout flow. No specific reliability concerns flagged. Pass Lab models only the evaluation challenge rules — funded-stage reliability requires independent research.

How does Pass Lab calculate the Goat confidence interval?

Walk-forward windows × 1,000 MC iterations × 5,000 bootstrap. Full methodology at /blog/verdict-methodology.html.

Calculate your Goat pass probability now

Upload your MT4/MT5 backtests. Pass Lab simulates against Goat plus 7 other propfirms simultaneously.

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