The5ers Calculator

The5ers Pass Rate Calculator with 95% confidence intervals

Upload your EA backtests. Pass Lab simulates against The5ers' Hyper Growth rules using walk-forward Monte Carlo and bootstrap CIs. An honest [low, high] range, not a marketing-grade point estimate.

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Open Pass Lab →How it works
Trade data never leaves your device2026 rules verifiedOpen methodology
Independent tool. Not affiliated with or endorsed by The5ers. Rules quoted from the5ers.com, verified 2026-05-01.
Estimate your pass probability

Lower bound, not best case.

95% CI from 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations on the inputs below. Upload your real backtests to run this on your actual trade sequence →

Primary match · 95% CI lower bound
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Best case · 95% CI upper bound
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Lite estimate. Upload your MT4/MT5 backtest to run walk-forward × Monte Carlo × bootstrap on your real trade data.
This is what the full report looks like →
The5ers Hyper Growth rules baked in:Target +10%Max DD 6%Daily DD 3%1+ days · unlimited time

Lite estimate based on simplified inputs. Real-world pass rates depend on your actual trade distribution, news-trading rules, weekend holding, and per-firm consistency rules — all of which our audit-grade Pass Lab tool accounts for via real backtest data. CFTC Rule 4.41 hypothetical performance disclaimer applies.

May 2026 Correction

The5ers Hyper Growth — what we learned in May 2026

Pass Lab originally modeled The5ers Hyper Growth with the wrong rules. After research verification in May 2026, we corrected the profile in three ways:

  • Profit target 8% → 10%
  • Daily DD 4% → 3% (labeled "daily pause" by The5ers, not "breach")
  • Weekend holding: banned → allowed (the original "banned" assumption was incorrect)

The weekend-holding flip is the biggest change. Before May 2026, every EA portfolio that held positions over weekends scored 0% CI-low at The5ers via "Rule mismatch · Weekend holding". With the corrected flag, The5ers becomes a real competitor for many portfolios.

Verified Rules

The5ers Hyper Growth rules (verified May 2026)

RuleHyper Growth ($100k account, modeled)
Profit Target10% of starting balance
Max Daily Loss3% of starting balance (tightest in Pass Lab catalog)
Max Total Loss6% of starting balance (static)
Min Trading DaysNone
Time LimitUnlimited
Weekend HoldingAllowed
Leverage1:30 across forex, metals, and indices (lowest in catalog)

Source: the5ers.com/hyper-growth/ + The5ers help center (verified 2026-05-01).

Note on account size: The5ers Hyper Growth tops out around $40k starting capital. Pass Lab models the program at $100k for catalog comparability — the percentage-based rules apply identically at any balance, but if you're shopping at $100k specifically, The5ers' separate High Stakes 2-step program is the correct comparable. Future Pass Lab versions will offer per-account-size variants.

Cross-Firm Comparison

When does The5ers win in the cross-firm comparison?

Tight-strategy portfolios with low intraday volatility — The5ers' 3% daily DD line is the strictest in the catalog, but if your portfolio rarely sees 2%+ intraday swings, The5ers' lower target (10%) and unlimited time make it competitive. Most aggressive or grid EAs will fail The5ers' 6% total DD before they hit profit target.

Portfolios that don't need high leverage — The5ers' 1:30 across all assets is the lowest in the 8-firm catalog. If you size positions for 1:30 anyway, the leverage cap doesn't constrain you. If your strategy depends on 1:100+ leverage to size up, The5ers will materially under-perform FTMO/FundedNext/FundingPips.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What's my actual pass probability for The5ers Hyper Growth?

Pass Lab gives you a 95% confidence interval. Upload your MT4/MT5 backtests at fxoptimize.com/pass-lab/ and get [low, high]. The primary match is selected on the lower bound.

What are The5ers Hyper Growth rules in 2026?

10% target, 3% daily, 6% total static, 1:30 leverage all assets, no min trading days, unlimited time, weekend holding allowed.

Does The5ers allow weekend holding?

Yes. Earlier Pass Lab versions incorrectly modeled this as banned; we corrected it in May 2026 after research verification.

How does The5ers compare to FTMO?

The5ers has tighter daily DD (3% vs 5%), tighter total DD (6% vs 10%), no minimum trading days. Both have 10% profit target. The5ers' 1:30 leverage is much lower than FTMO's 1:100 forex. Tight strategies win at The5ers; aggressive ones win at FTMO.

How does Pass Lab calculate The5ers confidence interval?

Walk-forward windows × 1,000 MC iterations × 5,000 bootstrap. Full methodology at /blog/pass-lab-methodology.html.

What typically causes The5ers challenge failures?

The5ers Hyper Growth's defining feature is the weekend-holding restriction history — pre-2026 they explicitly banned weekend holds, and Pass Lab still surfaces "Rule mismatch · Weekend holding" if your portfolio carries positions through Friday close. That rule changed in 2026 to allow weekend holding on Hyper Growth, but the rule-mismatch detector remains a useful filter for legacy backtests. Beyond that, the 4% daily DD on a trailing-EoD anchor is the most common failure mode — tighter than FTMO's 5% and on a trailing rather than static floor, which compounds drawdowns over multiple losing days. Min trading days of 6 also catches low-frequency EAs that take 1-2 trades per week.

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