The5ers Calculator

The5ers Pass Rate Calculator with 95% confidence intervals

Upload your EA backtests. Pass Lab simulates against The5ers' Hyper Growth rules using walk-forward Monte Carlo and bootstrap CIs. Audit-grade [low, high] range, not a marketing-grade point estimate.

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Not affiliated with The5ers. FXOptimize is an independent research and analytics tool. We use The5ers' publicly documented rule structure to estimate historical pass rates from your backtest data. We are not endorsed by, partnered with, or otherwise affiliated with The5ers.
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✓ Trade data never leaves your device✓ 2026 rules verified✓ Open methodology
Estimate your pass probability

Lower bound, not best case.

95% CI from 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations on the inputs below. Upload your real backtests for audit-grade precision →

Primary match · 95% CI lower bound
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Best case · 95% CI upper bound
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Lite estimate. Upload your MT4/MT5 backtest for audit-grade precision (walk-forward × Monte Carlo × bootstrap on real trade data).
The5ers Hyper Growth rules baked in:Target +10%Max DD 6%Daily DD 3%1+ days · unlimited time

Lite estimate based on simplified inputs. Real-world pass rates depend on your actual trade distribution, news-trading rules, weekend holding, and per-firm consistency rules — all of which our audit-grade Pass Lab tool accounts for via real backtest data. CFTC Rule 4.41 hypothetical performance disclaimer applies.

May 2026 Correction

The5ers Hyper Growth — what we learned in May 2026

Pass Lab originally modeled The5ers Hyper Growth with the wrong rules. After research verification in May 2026, we corrected the profile in three ways:

  • Profit target 8% → 10%
  • Daily DD 4% → 3% (labeled "daily pause" by The5ers, not "breach")
  • Weekend holding: banned → allowed (the original "banned" assumption was incorrect)

The weekend-holding flip is the biggest change. Before May 2026, every EA portfolio that held positions over weekends scored 0% CI-low at The5ers via "Rule mismatch · Weekend holding". With the corrected flag, The5ers becomes a real competitor for many portfolios.

Verified Rules

The5ers Hyper Growth rules (verified May 2026)

RuleHyper Growth ($100k account, modeled)
Profit Target10% of starting balance
Max Daily Loss3% of starting balance (tightest in Pass Lab catalog)
Max Total Loss6% of starting balance (static)
Min Trading DaysNone
Time LimitUnlimited
Weekend HoldingAllowed
Leverage1:30 across forex, metals, and indices (lowest in catalog)

Source: the5ers.com/hyper-growth/ + The5ers help center (verified 2026-05-01).

Note on account size: The5ers Hyper Growth tops out around $40k starting capital. Pass Lab models the program at $100k for catalog comparability — the percentage-based rules apply identically at any balance, but if you're shopping at $100k specifically, The5ers' separate High Stakes 2-step program is the correct comparable. Future Pass Lab versions will offer per-account-size variants.

Cross-Firm Comparison

When does The5ers win in the cross-firm comparison?

Tight-strategy portfolios with low intraday volatility — The5ers' 3% daily DD line is the strictest in the catalog, but if your portfolio rarely sees 2%+ intraday swings, The5ers' lower target (10%) and unlimited time make it competitive. Most aggressive or grid EAs will fail The5ers' 6% total DD before they hit profit target.

Portfolios that don't need high leverage — The5ers' 1:30 across all assets is the lowest in the 8-firm catalog. If you size positions for 1:30 anyway, the leverage cap doesn't constrain you. If your strategy depends on 1:100+ leverage to size up, The5ers will materially under-perform FTMO/FundedNext/FundingPips.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What's my actual pass probability for The5ers Hyper Growth?

Pass Lab gives you a 95% confidence interval. Upload your MT4/MT5 backtests at fxoptimize.com/pass-lab/ and get [low, high]. The primary match is selected on the lower bound.

What are The5ers Hyper Growth rules in 2026?

10% target, 3% daily, 6% total static, 1:30 leverage all assets, no min trading days, unlimited time, weekend holding allowed.

Does The5ers allow weekend holding?

Yes. Earlier Pass Lab versions incorrectly modeled this as banned; we corrected it in May 2026 after research verification.

How does The5ers compare to FTMO?

The5ers has tighter daily DD (3% vs 5%), tighter total DD (6% vs 10%), no minimum trading days. Both have 10% profit target. The5ers' 1:30 leverage is much lower than FTMO's 1:100 forex. Tight strategies win at The5ers; aggressive ones win at FTMO.

How does Pass Lab calculate The5ers confidence interval?

Walk-forward windows × 1,000 MC iterations × 5,000 bootstrap. Full methodology at /blog/pass-lab-methodology.html.

What typically causes The5ers challenge failures?

The5ers Hyper Growth's defining feature is the weekend-holding restriction history — pre-2026 they explicitly banned weekend holds, and Pass Lab still surfaces "Rule mismatch · Weekend holding" if your portfolio carries positions through Friday close. That rule changed in 2026 to allow weekend holding on Hyper Growth, but the rule-mismatch detector remains a useful filter for legacy backtests. Beyond that, the 4% daily DD on a trailing-EoD anchor is the most common failure mode — tighter than FTMO's 5% and on a trailing rather than static floor, which compounds drawdowns over multiple losing days. Min trading days of 6 also catches low-frequency EAs that take 1-2 trades per week.

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